A Pastor's Thoughts on Christianity, Current
Events, & Politics
Stimulus a Year Later
1.31.10
Church got cancelled because of snow so I thought I'd
chime in here instead.
We are at the one year anniversary of the stimulus
package and there is a lot of talk about it. Obviously
every article that you read on the subject is going to be
biased based on whether a person is a democrat or
republican. Democrats claim that the
stimulus has created jobs and therefore was a success.
Republicans say that people don't like it and it increased
the deficit significantly so it was a waste of money.
I'd like to offer a different perspective as an independent.
The stimulus package was necessary on account that it gave
people hope. It was passed when the stock market was
spiraling downward and many people were scared. For
the time being, people needed to feel as if the government
had a handle on things and the stimulus package provided
that. It may have been just as effective with a
smaller price tag or could have been more effective if even
more money was spent, I don't know. The stimulus
package gave people hope however and the stock market soon
rebounded in March, giving people the impression that things
were on the upturn. People are now turning against the
stimulus package because it was not everything that they had
hoped for. It is possible that the stimulus will
deliver absolutely everything that President Obama said it
would but the American people expected more. They
expected that unemployment would have dropped instead of
risen. And more importantly they expected that the
economy would be in better shape overall by this point.
What about actual numbers? The stimulus passed in 2009
was said to have a hefty price tag of $787 billion.
Recently this price was raised by $75 billion. To be
honest I'm not clear why the price was raised except it
seemed as if no one figured in the interest that this would
cost us on the deficit.
The first report that was issued by the government after
the third quarter stated that 640,000 jobs had been created
or saved as a result of the stimulus. The reports that
were received contained numerous factual errors including
many instances where reported congressional districts did
not ever exist. Because of this and other problems,
the accuracy of the jobs created was called into question.
The fourth quarter report claims that just under 600,000
jobs were created or saved as a result of the stimulus.
This gives us 1.24 million jobs that have been directly
saved or created as a result of the stimulus package. The
Obama administration is touting a number of jobs created
between 1.5 and 2 million as a result of indirect jobs
created. The reports only reflect jobs directly
created with the money spent. It is only fair to
reason that these additional jobs created causes a need for
more supplies, construction equipment, fast food meals, etc.
This indirectly adds to the job total as those companies
must have more workers to deal with increased demand. So
far $263.3 billion has been spent of the stimulus money.
Using the most optimistic 2 million jobs number, this means
that the cost of each job has been $131,650. Mind you,
this is not salary that has been paid to each worker for a
year's labor but reflects only what has been spent in six
months of reports. When projects are finished and
completely paid for, that number will likely rise. So
yes, the stimulus has created jobs as promised. And
yes, the stimulus has come at a tremendous price tag.
One would think that we could create jobs at a much smaller
price tag than $131k per job, especially considering that a
third of those jobs were indirect jobs with no official
government spending. It also looks like the proposed
$5,000 small business incentive to hire workers look like a
pittance even at an overall price tag of $33 billion. Not
that a 10% unemployment rate isn't a big problem for those
who are out of work, but 90% of Americans are getting little
to nothing for their tax dollars. I believe that we
can provide stimulus and provide lasting value for
Americans. Our infrastructure is crumbling.
Bridges and roadways are in bad repair. The engineers
who inspect these things give our infrastructure a grade of
D. They estimate that it will take $100 billion to
repair our infrastructure to where it should be. I say
write the check. $100 billion to repair our roads will
provide real, tangible benefits to everyone as well as
lasting value. It will provide more jobs, even if they
are mainly construction and manufacturing ones. And
the price tag seems like a drop in the bucket compared to
what has been spent in the last six months and even smaller
compared to the overall price that hasn't even been paid
yet. One final note on all of this government money.
Not that anyone is a fan of big banks these days but they've
mostly held up their end of the bargain. Of the $700
billion provided by the Bush administration in TARP funds,
only $99 billion is still outstanding. Granted this is
a huge chunk of change and would almost fully fund by
proposed infrastructure improvements, it is much better off
than the stimulus. As mentioned earlier, the price of
the stimulus package was just raised another $75 billion for
a total of $862 billion. The Obama administration
keeps blaming the Bush administration for the current
problems. What is never mentioned is that it was a
democratic congress that passed the bills and Bush just
signed them into law. Just comparing the two bills, it
appears that Bush was far more financially smart. That
doesn't account for anything else passed during his watch,
just that TARP looks like the better of the two bills right
now. Filed under:
Politics
New Website
1.18.10
As I had planned, my new website production has slowed
down since the spring and summer of 2009. I really
hadn't planned on launching a new website any time soon and
was going to focus more on my devotions. But the best
laid plans get distracted when I'm behind them. First of
all, I'm finally caught up on my devotions and have
everything posted for January. This is the first time
since Thanksgiving that I've been caught up I think. I'm
actually launching a couple of new web projects but there's
no telling when I will make them live. My best guess
is that it will take a couple of weeks at least. There
is one new address to offer, but it's not a new site.
I registered the name
theonlinebibledictionary.com for the Bible dictionary.
The dictionary has been around for some time and even my
new, updated site has been up since the fall. However
this domain will take anyone directly to the dictionary
instead of having to navigate around the spreadinglight
site. In all, not a big deal but I thought it was
worth the investment. My current website project is
something that has come out of a sermon series. I've
been preaching from the gospel of John and have been using
the details in the other gospels to fill in the holes of
some of the stories. I suddenly had an idea - wouldn't
it be nice to have every story put together in order to read
all of the gospel accounts of the story in one place?
So that is my project. There are 233 separate stories
recorded in the four gospels. I am not only posting
all of the relevant verses to each story but will be adding
some commentary about why the story is significant and how
the gospel accounts differ. In other words, 233
webpages written by me. It will definitely take a
while to get the site finished but I'll be sure to add the
link here when I'm done. I already have plans for another
future project. I purchased the domain name for it
already so there's a good chance that I'll get it done as
well. It will be my attempt to consolidate the
business/affiliate side of Spreading Light Ministries.
Ultimately there are some Christian business sites that I'd
like to launch but I don't want to clutter up the ministry
site with links so this will be a new launching platform.
Once again, this will be a long term project but I will
likely put up a smaller scale site to get things started.
Filed under:
Spreadinglight Light
Ministres
God's Newness
1.5.10
In a new year I like to focus on God's newness.
The old has passed, the new has come. January first
marks a time to put the old behind us. No matter how
bad the previous year was, we can say that it was last year
and we are in a new year with endless possibilities.
It's for this reason that I am focusing January's devotions
on newness and things that God declares to make new in the
Bible. Despite my liking of newness, I was very
surprised at something new today. I live on the east
coast and got two feet of snow a week before Christmas.
Currently the temperature has been dropping into the teens
and single digits overnight and the high hasn't made it out
of the 20's in several days. All of this left me
absolutely shocked to look out my office window in my
basement and see four irises popping up out of the ground by
about an inch. Even in the middle of winter (actually
only two weeks into it!) I'm reminded that spring is coming.
Soon blossoms will be out in full force and all of the
oldness will be replaced by something new and beautiful.
Of course all of this serves as a reminder of how God
makes us new as well. He takes something that it is
cold and dead and not that pretty and makes something
wonderful out of it. Praise God for His newness!
Filed under:
Christianity
Bulletin Bloopers
12.7.09
I love bulletin bloopers. They're humorous and a safe
topic to joke about in church. I actually have a collection
of bulletin bloopers on another website. Yesterday my
wife pointed out that I had made a pretty bulletin blooper
myself. I'm so proud and hope that it means everyone will go
Christmas caroling now: CHRISTMAS CAROLING: We will
plan on going Christmas caroling on Monday December 21st.
All those who are interesting should meet at the church at
6:30. I hope that gets everyone in the Christmas
spirit with a good laugh. Filed under:
Christianity
Climate Change Emails
12.2.09
Climate change is in the news again and not just because
of an upcoming conference in Copenhagen or continued
discussion by Congress to pass "cap and trade" laws.
Files from the University of East Anglia were hacked and
uploaded onto the internet. These files include
numerous emails and internal documents on the discussion
over climate change. It's no surprise that scientists
disagree on the issue and it is no real revelation that
there is even childish namecalling among dissenting views.
What is cause for concern is the accusation that scientists
manipulated data to support their view rather than deriving
their view from an objective evaluation of the information.
Among the more interesting bits leaked was a statement
implying that scientists can't account for a lack of global
warming going on currently. “The fact is that we can’t
account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a
travesty that we can’t.” Another alarm comes from the
fact that examination of tree growth rings stopped when they
did not support their thermometer readings. The New
York Times writes
here:
"Through the last century, tree rings and thermometers
show a consistent rise in temperature until 1960, when some
tree rings, for unknown reasons, no longer show that rise,
while the thermometers continue to do so until the present."
There may be a good reason for abandoning the tree rings
but no explanation is offered as to why the tree rings show
different data and why that data is not attempted to be
reconciled rather than disregarding it.
Scientists point out that the timing of this information
leak is suspicious at best given the climate change
conference coming up. But that seems beside the point.
The information was obtained illegally and obviously was
meant to damage backers of the climate change position.
The point is that these conversations happened and the
public has been told that climate change is universally
accepted and all scientific data backs this up.
Instead there are dissenting opinions and apparently data
that contradicts what the climate change supporters want us
to believe.
Before this seems like an isolated event with a few bad
apples, in my search for actual information about these
climate change emails, (I first read about this on CNN
yesterday, almost two weeks after the emails were first
reported about elsewhere on the web - and CNN offered no
information about the actual contents of the emails) I
uncovered that this is not the first set of damaging leaks.
This
site discusses leaked emails from the EPA and a demand
for more information to be released to the public.
In the EPA emails, a scientists was told not to speak
about climate change outside of the National Center for
Environmental Economics. Another email forbid him from
researching the topic any further. A third email gives
the impression that the organization's position was set and
releasing data to the contrary would only cause trouble.
We should be good stewards of God's creation. We
certainly have an impact on our environment and there are
things that we can do to cut down on pollution that should
be done. Clouds of smog over Mexico City and Los
Angeles are not naturally occurring and it doesn't take
scientific data to prove this. Perhaps we need to be a
bit less trusting when science tells us that something is a
proven fact and that everyone agrees with it. It
sounds very similar to the story of evolution that we've
been told as well.
Filed under:
Current Events
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